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moon reflection is off to the left as i was too lazy to fix the painting on the water and it looks much different and flatter on the painted bit.  also, there's a halo around the moon cause i just used the elliptical tool to grab the moon and didn't worry about the extra sky around it. 

exactly as i planned out above including masking.  3 moon layers (listed bottom to top) screen @ 15%, overlay @ 100%, softlight @ 45%.  adjust screen to get more or less reflection, overlay for shininess and softlight for contrast.  i might also consider a 4th layer set for color...

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